Who's betting on “Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?”?
Iran · $19K volume · Ends April 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
52% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points.
58 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $1.0K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Noahrichards98, with $3.4K on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 40 markets (75% won).
- Smart money share
- 52%
- Holders
- 26
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' winrate
- 55%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 94% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $11K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lastminwin | $1.0K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| XAE12Archangelwhale | $866 | +$233K | 75% of 1,069 |
| AXIOSinsidernoise | $534 | +$438 | 31% of 29 |
| computewhale | $430 | +$8.7K | 56% of 291 |
| 0xd0431e449e50933168ce562dfc1e1583fa37fb97-1787688740748 | $185 | -$184 | 59% of 37 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Noahrichards98balanced | $3.4K | +$8.7K | 75% of 40 |
| BondSeekerbalanced | $2.6K | +$7.5K | 65% of 26 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBillywhale | $1.9K | +$306K | 44% of 3,734 |
| QMG-COREwhale | $1.1K | +$87K | 73% of 1,173 |
| newbie77balanced | $826 | +$5.3K | 74% of 381 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Crude Oil all time high by...?
Other big iran markets
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money split
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- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$937K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?$774K vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?"?
58 wallets hold a position worth $15K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 58 of them. The largest Yes holder is lastminwin, with $1.0K on it, $10K lifetime loss over 7 markets (57% won). The largest No holder is Noahrichards98, with $3.4K on it, $8.7K lifetime profit over 40 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 26¢ and No at 75¢, a 75% implied chance of No. $19K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
52% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 42 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on April 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.