Who's betting on “Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?”?
Smart money leans No: 60% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 8 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $9.6K by 196 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 53% 110 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 60% 86 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 31, 2027.
The smart money
53% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
Who holds it
196 wallets hold a position worth $9.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is zhaoyk, with $360 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 26 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xrc, with $1.4K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 351 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 110
- Money on it
- $817
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $8.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$817 on it
- 1zhaoyk46% won of 26 · noise$360+$12K lifetime
- 2yikaizhao199850% won of 2$223−$4.8K lifetime
- 3khaldunresearch17% won of 23$79−$1.8K lifetime
- 4yikaiz33% won of 15$20−$2.2K lifetime
- 5balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$20+$1.2M lifetime
No$8.8K on it
- 10xrc85% won of 351 · whale$1.4K+$29K lifetime
- 2RealMaxNick76% won of 710 · whale$982+$31K lifetime
- 3mazw887% won of 709$982−$2.8K lifetime
- 4win-win-win9985% won of 392$977−$3.0K lifetime
- 5MickyMauldib76% won of 111 · balanced$785+$466 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China Annual GDP Growth 2026
9 more- 4.0–5.0%$247K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: No
- 9.0%+$118K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 6.0-7.0%$92K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 3.0–4.0%$88K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 1.0–2.0%$77K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- <1.0%$68K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 7.0–8.0%$65K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 8.0–9.0%$55K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0–3.0%$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?"?
196 wallets hold a position worth $9.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 196 of them. The largest Yes holder is zhaoyk, with $360 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 26 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is 0xrc, with $1.4K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 351 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
53% of the money on Yes and 60% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 9 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.