Who's betting on “Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?”?
Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 44 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $68K traded all time
- Held now
- $294 by 109 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 42% 100 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 86% 9 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 31, 2027.
The smart money
42% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
Who holds it
109 wallets hold a position worth $294 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x3178Fde03ec1859deA28dd93835EE2623F78DC61-1780482037390, with $3 on it, $10 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is tradersss, with $182 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 200 markets (95% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 100
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 9
- Money on it
- $277
- Holders' win rate
- 94%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$18 on it
- 10x3178Fde03ec1859deA28dd93835EE2623F78DC61-1780482037390100% won of 2$3−$10 lifetime
- 2Brother35779% won of 1,056 · whale$2+$48K lifetime
- 3brickzflip42% won of 130$1−$49 lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$1+$1.2M lifetime
- 5Lashibucapiguyonghand34% won of 328$1−$195 lifetime
No$277 on it
- 1tradersss95% won of 200 · grinder$182+$1.6K lifetime
- 2gandalffromtheearth97% won of 201 · whale$50+$1.2K lifetime
- 3FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$28−$3.0K lifetime
- 4Furmaner90% won of 52$10−$1 lifetime
- 59356100% won of 28$5+$5 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China Annual GDP Growth 2026
9 more- 4.0–5.0%$247K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: No
- 9.0%+$118K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 6.0-7.0%$92K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 5.0–6.0%$88K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 3.0–4.0%$88K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 1.0–2.0%$77K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 7.0–8.0%$65K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 8.0–9.0%$55K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0–3.0%$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $294 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x3178Fde03ec1859deA28dd93835EE2623F78DC61-1780482037390, with $3 on it, $10 lifetime loss over 2 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is tradersss, with $182 on it, $1.6K lifetime profit over 200 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $68K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
42% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 44 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.