Who's betting on “Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $118K traded all time
- Held now
- $153 by 98 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 28% 86 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 31, 2027.
The smart money
28% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
98 wallets hold a position worth $153 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xb762a8b22Fb2e10511f679c0B54DA0ebd2108D68-1781407603012, with $54 on it, $830 lifetime loss over 73 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is FlashTradeOracleTester, with $28 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 251 markets (88% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $88
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $65
- Holders' win rate
- 85%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$88 on it
- 10xb762a8b22Fb2e10511f679c0B54DA0ebd2108D68-178140760301251% won of 73$54−$830 lifetime
- 2balthazar53% won of 52,447 · whale$6+$1.2M lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 86,904 · noise$4+$829K lifetime
- 4e46m347% won of 87,774 · whale$4+$964K lifetime
- 50xb30F96feE2db63f158dE9139A1717133cDA01391-177816326370434% won of 207$3−$100 lifetime
No$65 on it
- 1FlashTradeOracleTester88% won of 251$28−$3.0K lifetime
- 2lunaecho21198% won of 200$10+$20 lifetime
- 3gandalffromtheearth97% won of 201 · whale$8+$1.2K lifetime
- 4erdeff7758% won of 90$6−$5 lifetime
- 532171b3251% won of 83$6−$16 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in China Annual GDP Growth 2026
9 more- 4.0–5.0%$247K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: No
- 6.0-7.0%$92K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 5.0–6.0%$88K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- 3.0–4.0%$88K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- 1.0–2.0%$77K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- <1.0%$68K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 7.0–8.0%$65K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 8.0–9.0%$55K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 2.0–3.0%$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$950K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?"?
98 wallets hold a position worth $153 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 98 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xb762a8b22Fb2e10511f679c0B54DA0ebd2108D68-1781407603012, with $54 on it, $830 lifetime loss over 73 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is FlashTradeOracleTester, with $28 on it, $3.0K lifetime loss over 251 markets (88% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
28% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.