Who's betting on “Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 98% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 37 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.9K by 59 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 47 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 98% 12 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
Who holds it
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $13 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $1.8K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $53
- Holders' win rate
- 53%
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $1.9K
- Holders' win rate
- 94%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$53 on it
- 1spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$13+$27K lifetime
- 2Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$5+$801K lifetime
- 3akunai45% won of 414 · whale$3+$2.3K lifetime
- 4ma9940% won of 426 · noise$3+$2.2K lifetime
- 5Ardtysrt0164% won of 335 · whale$3+$718 lifetime
No$1.9K on it
- 10x8931…a90c95% won of 609 · whale$1.8K+$29K lifetime
- 2aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$27+$201K lifetime
- 3bernardbulletin75% won of 1,126 · whale$24+$198K lifetime
- 4LBZero47% won of 1,012$18−$26K lifetime
- 5Indianwolf73% won of 52$15−$29 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
24 more- Gavin Newsom$91K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Donald Trump$71K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Kamala Harris$70K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Hunter Biden$58K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$58K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Ivanka Trump$40K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- J.D. Vance$39K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Zohran Mamdani$36K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Tucker Carlson$31K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- MrBeast$30K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Andy Beshear$30K vol.Yes 19%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Jon Ossoff$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Erika Kirk$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Katie Britt$26K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Buttigieg$24K vol.Yes 27%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Marjorie Taylor Greene$22K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Steve Bannon$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Rand Paul$20K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Rahm Emanuel$20K vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: No
- Kristi Noem$20K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Stephen A. Smith$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Oprah Winfrey$18K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Cory Booker$17K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Ted Cruz$17K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?"?
59 wallets hold a position worth $1.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 59 of them. The largest Yes holder is spartatrading, with $13 on it, $27K lifetime profit over 1,291 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is 0x8931…a90c, with $1.8K on it, $29K lifetime profit over 609 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.