Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 12 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $71K traded all time
- Held now
- $17K by 157 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 102 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 55 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
Who holds it
157 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 157 of them. The largest Yes holder is aenews2, with $88 on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $5.5K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
Sharp money
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $13 on Yes.
- Holders
- 102
- Money on it
- $548
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 2 · $13
- Holders
- 55
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 67%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$548 on it
- 1aenews273% won of 1,134 · whale$88+$2.4M lifetime
- 2AmericanIsraelPublicAffairsCommittee65% won of 183 · balanced$66+$6.6K lifetime
- 3smallf81% won of 203 · whale$42+$92K lifetime
- 4tescat51% won of 327 · whale$39+$4.3K lifetime
- 5tobyvacher100% won of 4$36+$178 lifetime
No$16K on it
- 1tetrase65% won of 1,216 · whale$5.5K+$973K lifetime
- 20x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$5.2K−$70K lifetime
- 3i40071% won of 714 · whale$1.1K+$84K lifetime
- 4QMG-CORE73% won of 1,224 · whale$1.1K+$57K lifetime
- 5trkbk284% won of 132 · balanced$754+$2.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
24 more- Gavin Newsom$91K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Kamala Harris$70K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Hunter Biden$58K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$58K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Ivanka Trump$40K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- J.D. Vance$39K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Zohran Mamdani$36K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Tucker Carlson$31K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- MrBeast$30K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Andy Beshear$30K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Jon Ossoff$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Erika Kirk$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Katie Britt$26K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Buttigieg$24K vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Marjorie Taylor Greene$22K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Steve Bannon$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Rand Paul$20K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Rahm Emanuel$20K vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: No
- Kristi Noem$20K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Stephen A. Smith$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Oprah Winfrey$18K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Cory Booker$17K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Ted Cruz$17K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money split
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?"?
157 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 157 of them. The largest Yes holder is aenews2, with $88 on it, $2.4M lifetime profit over 1,134 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is tetrase, with $5.5K on it, $973K lifetime profit over 1,216 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $71K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 12 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 13 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.