Who's betting on “Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $17K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.8K by 44 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 22 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 61% 22 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.
Who holds it
44 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8026…2f99, with $67 on it, $352 lifetime profit over 200 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is mombil, with $702 on it, $502K lifetime profit over 1,063 markets (62% won).
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $160
- Holders' win rate
- 55%
- Holders
- 22
- Money on it
- $1.6K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$160 on it
- 10x8026…2f9950% won of 200 · balanced$67+$352 lifetime
- 24rchibald4rchy4rmstrong80% won of 91$28−$1.7K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$19+$255K lifetime
- 4thecaricature44% won of 717$17−$7.9K lifetime
- 50x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-178176742433870% won of 548 · balanced$9+$925 lifetime
No$1.6K on it
- 1mombil62% won of 1,063 · whale$702+$502K lifetime
- 2Retired-Davis58% won of 335$455−$41K lifetime
- 3HotDogs93% won of 617 · whale$202+$21K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$42−$377K lifetime
- 5LBZero47% won of 1,012$36−$26K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
24 more- Gavin Newsom$91K vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Donald Trump$71K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Kamala Harris$70K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Hunter Biden$58K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez$58K vol.Yes 8%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Ivanka Trump$40K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- J.D. Vance$39K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: Yes
- Zohran Mamdani$36K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Tucker Carlson$31K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- MrBeast$30K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Andy Beshear$30K vol.Yes 22%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- Jon Ossoff$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Erika Kirk$27K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Katie Britt$26K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Pete Buttigieg$24K vol.Yes 28%No 73%Smart money: Yes
- Marjorie Taylor Greene$22K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- Steve Bannon$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Rand Paul$20K vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Rahm Emanuel$20K vol.Yes 23%No 77%Smart money: No
- Kristi Noem$20K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Stephen A. Smith$20K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Oprah Winfrey$18K vol.Yes 4%No 97%Smart money: No
- Cory Booker$17K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money split
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.$17K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?"?
44 wallets hold a position worth $1.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 44 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x8026…2f99, with $67 on it, $352 lifetime profit over 200 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is mombil, with $702 on it, $502K lifetime profit over 1,063 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $17K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 61% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.