Who's betting on “Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 45% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $177K traded all time
- Held now
- $65K by 482 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 36% 181 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 45% 297 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $177K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
36% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
Who holds it
482 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 478 of them. The largest Yes holder is falloutmax, with $9.4K on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 8 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is garbagecollect2, with $11 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 1,896 markets (66% won).
- Holders
- 183
- Money on it
- $65K
- Holders' win rate
- 81%
- Holders
- 299
- Money on it
- $98
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$65K on it
- 1falloutmax75% won of 8$9.4K−$1.4K lifetime
- 2chicho80% won of 30$7.0K−$477 lifetime
- 3robipitt467% won of 6$5.8K−$557 lifetime
- 4MEPP62% won of 1,084 · whale$3.9K+$559K lifetime
- 5fivegoldenrings92% won of 62$3.5K−$2.5K lifetime
No$98 on it
- 1garbagecollect266% won of 1,896 · whale$11+$30K lifetime
- 2Brother35779% won of 1,056 · whale$10+$48K lifetime
- 3freemoney151no record yet$7+$0 lifetime
- 4richman666no record yet$7+$0 lifetime
- 5BenandOwenandCCCno record yet$5−$304 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?"?
482 wallets hold a position worth $65K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 478 of them. The largest Yes holder is falloutmax, with $9.4K on it, $1.4K lifetime loss over 8 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is garbagecollect2, with $11 on it, $30K lifetime profit over 1,896 markets (66% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 100¢ and No at 0¢, a 100% implied chance of Yes. $177K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
36% of the money on Yes and 45% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.