Live on Polymarket

Who's betting on “Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?”?

Tech$31K traded108 holdersEnds January 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
15%Yes
85%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 72% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$31K
traded all time
Held now
$7.3K
by 108 wallets
Smart share · Yes
58%
57 scored holders
Smart share · No
72%
51 scored holders

What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

The smart money

58% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.

Who holds it

108 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815, with $213 on it, $871 lifetime profit over 172 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is BridgeLake, with $1.4K on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 220 markets (40% won).

Yes15%
Smart money share58%
7 days ago 54%a day ago 58%now 58%
Holders
57
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' win rate
56%
No85%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share72% ▲ 14 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 60%a day ago 58%now 72%
Holders
51
Money on it
$6.2K
Holders' win rate
67%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$1.1K on it

  1. 10x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-177958101681536% won of 172 · noise$213+$871 lifetime
  2. 20x22d479bf00cf48acfeb61c174fdae8d4e530b479% won of 89$162−$13K lifetime
  3. 30XTrumpDKXuqB91R7913e63% won of 401 · balanced$146+$3.0K lifetime
  4. 4PavtheGreat51% won of 296$135−$2.4K lifetime
  5. 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$65+$255K lifetime

No$6.2K on it

  1. 1BridgeLake40% won of 220 · noise$1.4K+$4.8K lifetime
  2. 2iori4752100% won of 6$957+$37 lifetime
  3. 3AlmostNoAwareness62% won of 193 · balanced$860+$3.4K lifetime
  4. 4Eric01887% won of 200 · whale$673+$32K lifetime
  5. 50x5d25…b70367% won of 24$592−$512 lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?"?

108 wallets hold a position worth $7.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 108 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x51dE66B7f3d10EceB99aaB57622cA850655e9E4A-1779581016815, with $213 on it, $871 lifetime profit over 172 markets (36% won). The largest No holder is BridgeLake, with $1.4K on it, $4.8K lifetime profit over 220 markets (40% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 15¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $31K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

58% of the money on Yes and 72% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 6 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.