Who's betting on “Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 11 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $12K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 80% 24 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is vtx, with $186 on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 138 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is X10X10, with $382 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won).
- Holders
- 31
- Money on it
- $636
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $681
- Holders' win rate
- 43%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$636 on it
- 1vtx72% won of 138 · balanced$186+$2.3K lifetime
- 20xzipper75% won of 268 · whale$152+$36K lifetime
- 3X-Rabbit.Sezu66% won of 443 · whale$119+$35K lifetime
- 4molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$44+$46K lifetime
- 52B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$36+$97K lifetime
No$681 on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$382+$38K lifetime
- 2SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$130+$203K lifetime
- 3pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$48−$320K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,080$44−$49K lifetime
- 5Carabao51% won of 3,310$15−$1.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is vtx, with $186 on it, $2.3K lifetime profit over 138 markets (72% won). The largest No holder is X10X10, with $382 on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 74¢, a 74% implied chance of No. $12K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 11 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.