Who's betting on “Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $20K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.7K by 84 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 81% 43 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 81% 40 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
81% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
84 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $1.5K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $112 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,319 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 43
- Money on it
- $5.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $243
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$5.5K on it
- 1X10X1041% won of 1,551 · noise$1.5K+$38K lifetime
- 2bleed180% won of 7,690 · whale$995+$2.4K lifetime
- 30xA2770432A5E6Bd24c347c976b0D815db1f2C1182-176094584678764% won of 171 · balanced$880+$10K lifetime
- 4PavtheGreat51% won of 296$427−$2.4K lifetime
- 5cym196945% won of 29 · noise$327+$3.3K lifetime
No$243 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,319 · whale$112+$1.2M lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,228 · noise$47+$254K lifetime
- 30x7ce7…9eb1no record yet$12
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,700$10−$320K lifetime
- 5alijbee62% won of 220 · balanced$9+$1.4K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Second-best AI Lab end of October?
1 moreOther big tech markets
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- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
84 wallets hold a position worth $5.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is X10X10, with $1.5K on it, $38K lifetime profit over 1,551 markets (41% won). The largest No holder is balthazar, with $112 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,319 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 92¢ and No at 9¢, a 92% implied chance of Yes. $20K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
81% of the money on Yes and 81% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.