Who's betting on “Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 89% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 23 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.0K by 72 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 89% 40 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
89% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
Who holds it
72 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is DeverNoom, with $136 on it, $6.3K lifetime profit over 294 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Gdub, with $1.3K on it, $301 lifetime loss over 1,014 markets (70% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $11 on No.
- Holders
- 40
- Money on it
- $658
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $5.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 71%
- Snipers
- 1 · $11
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$658 on it
- 1DeverNoom69% won of 294 · balanced$136+$6.3K lifetime
- 2molodoyy50% won of 643 · whale$87+$46K lifetime
- 3asdasdasdasdasdasdasd76% won of 241 · balanced$67+$23K lifetime
- 4wqujvj75% won of 93 · balanced$60+$9.8K lifetime
- 5shiifoo52% won of 4,738 · whale$55+$46K lifetime
No$5.3K on it
- 1Gdub70% won of 1,014$1.3K−$301 lifetime
- 2Rumpelstiltskin77% won of 195 · balanced$999+$26K lifetime
- 3enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$890+$23K lifetime
- 4rpontici94% won of 344 · grinder$740+$3.7K lifetime
- 5Tenebrus766% won of 1,613 · whale$334+$154K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?
1 moreOther big tech markets
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- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?"?
72 wallets hold a position worth $6.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 72 of them. The largest Yes holder is DeverNoom, with $136 on it, $6.3K lifetime profit over 294 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Gdub, with $1.3K on it, $301 lifetime loss over 1,014 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
89% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 23 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 25 points. A week ago, Yes by 11 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.