Who's betting on “Will Amazon say "AWS" 20+ times during earnings call?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 31 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $105 traded all time
- Held now
- $48 by 6 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 69% 5 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 1 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 16¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $105 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
69% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points.
Who holds it
6 wallets hold a position worth $48 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 6 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-1773945055521, with $21 on it, $604 lifetime profit over 397 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is pabloponssol, with $8 on it, $8.6K lifetime profit over 9 markets (89% won).
- Holders
- 5
- Money on it
- $41
- Holders' win rate
- 70%
- Holders
- 1
- Money on it
- $8
- Holders' win rate
- 89%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$41 on it
- 10xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-177394505552181% won of 397 · balanced$21+$604 lifetime
- 2Melliv0ra43% won of 51$8−$67 lifetime
- 3mannyp57% won of 503 · balanced$6+$8.0K lifetime
- 4qubite281% won of 47$4−$3 lifetime
- 5t4lk1370% won of 477 · balanced$1+$222 lifetime
No$8 on it
- 1pabloponssol89% won of 9$8+$8.6K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Amazon say during their next earnings call?
13 more- International$311 vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money split
- America$301 vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
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- Robotic / Robotics$64 vol.Yes 89%No 11%Smart money: Yes
- Tariff$37 vol.Yes 93%No 8%Smart money split
- Anthropic$34 vol.Yes 93%No 8%Smart money: Yes
- AI / Artificial Intelligence 10+ times$32 vol.Yes 94%No 6%Smart money split
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- World CupYes 32%No 69%Smart money split
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 62%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Amazon say "AWS" 20+ times during earnings call?"?
6 wallets hold a position worth $48 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 6 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xa2bF3B2CED564Ce53d9FB2690b210D3aE61295D3-1773945055521, with $21 on it, $604 lifetime profit over 397 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is pabloponssol, with $8 on it, $8.6K lifetime profit over 9 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Amazon say "AWS" 20+ times during earnings call?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 85¢ and No at 16¢, an 85% implied chance of Yes. $105 has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
69% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.