Who's betting on “Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 67% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 41 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $44K traded all time
- Held now
- $7.7K by 115 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 26% 59 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 56 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
26% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
Who holds it
115 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5918f43043D82374E3419111555c118695EF4967-1773445876118, with $51 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is aviato, with $1.3K on it, $201K lifetime profit over 1,340 markets (80% won).
- Holders
- 59
- Money on it
- $395
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Holders
- 56
- Money on it
- $7.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$395 on it
- 10x5918f43043D82374E3419111555c118695EF4967-1773445876118no record yet$51+$0 lifetime
- 2paula0xa92% won of 24$50−$1.8K lifetime
- 3Tpezaske46% won of 26 · noise$49+$10K lifetime
- 40x37C178cC31c260c76E3DD193AcC347Eed335194c-1767461952184no record yet$46+$0 lifetime
- 5neutralwave2371% won of 30,950$42−$3.0M lifetime
No$7.4K on it
- 1aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$1.3K+$201K lifetime
- 2DFK81% won of 771 · whale$1.2K+$42K lifetime
- 375767755% won of 1,005$983−$426 lifetime
- 4Gdub70% won of 1,014$767−$301 lifetime
- 5BlindAndDeaf90% won of 29 · balanced$603+$5.5K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$459K vol.Yes 39%No 61%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?"?
115 wallets hold a position worth $7.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 115 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x5918f43043D82374E3419111555c118695EF4967-1773445876118, with $51 on it, $0 lifetime profit. The largest No holder is aviato, with $1.3K on it, $201K lifetime profit over 1,340 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $44K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
26% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 44 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.