Who's betting on “US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $45K traded all time
- Held now
- $3.7K by 97 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 41% 58 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 75% 39 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
41% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
Who holds it
97 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x41c9…716b, with $85 on it, $334 lifetime loss over 17 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is VLamarca, with $869 on it, $631 lifetime profit over 210 markets (60% won).
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $654
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 39
- Money on it
- $3.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 64%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$654 on it
- 10x41c9…716b29% won of 17$85−$334 lifetime
- 2LornaPredicts28% won of 15,856 · noise$75+$27K lifetime
- 3SusanWarrenHR75% won of 1,119 · whale$70+$95K lifetime
- 4tradetosurvive145% won of 25,331$65−$217K lifetime
- 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$60−$485K lifetime
No$3.1K on it
- 1VLamarca60% won of 210 · balanced$869+$631 lifetime
- 2nonkenny9092% won of 1,453 · whale$440+$80K lifetime
- 30x6c10…df5c66% won of 1,065$413−$70K lifetime
- 4ArmageddonRewardsBilly45% won of 4,063 · whale$386+$313K lifetime
- 5enrico-vasaio65% won of 1,070 · whale$268+$23K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$898K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$886K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$457K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?"?
97 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 97 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x41c9…716b, with $85 on it, $334 lifetime loss over 17 markets (29% won). The largest No holder is VLamarca, with $869 on it, $631 lifetime profit over 210 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $45K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
41% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 34 points. A week ago, No by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.