Who's betting on “US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 51 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $43K traded all time
- Held now
- $4.4K by 76 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 32% 44 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 32 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
32% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 53 points.
Who holds it
76 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them. The largest Yes holder is PMPD, with $160 on it, $4.6K lifetime loss over 28 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $1.7K on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
- Holders
- 44
- Money on it
- $396
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 32
- Money on it
- $4.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$396 on it
- 1PMPD46% won of 28$160−$4.6K lifetime
- 2Bogdan.Whitelist95% won of 200$45−$7.6K lifetime
- 3cc41656% won of 139 · balanced$32+$5.9K lifetime
- 4MrMarket70% won of 513 · whale$29+$18K lifetime
- 5rocky4202353% won of 1,241$27−$19K lifetime
No$4.0K on it
- 1vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$1.7K+$170K lifetime
- 2wqujvj75% won of 93 · balanced$1.4K+$9.8K lifetime
- 30x46a1…273672% won of 208 · balanced$253+$5.7K lifetime
- 4SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$182−$9.0K lifetime
- 5Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$182−$377K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big tech markets
- Human moon landing in 2026?$2.0M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$925K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 43%No 57%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?"?
76 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 76 of them. The largest Yes holder is PMPD, with $160 on it, $4.6K lifetime loss over 28 markets (46% won). The largest No holder is vinii, with $1.7K on it, $170K lifetime profit over 1,915 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 91¢, a 91% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
32% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 51 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 50 points. A week ago, No by 53 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.