Who's betting on “Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $262K traded all time
- Held now
- $40K by 307 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 61% 96 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 63% 211 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $262K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
61% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
Who holds it
307 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 307 of them. The largest Yes holder is vortl, with $196 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 207 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Marc345, with $7.7K on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won).
- Holders
- 96
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Holders
- 211
- Money on it
- $39K
- Holders' win rate
- 75%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.1K on it
- 1vortl51% won of 207$196−$4.2K lifetime
- 2BigRabbit36% won of 1,102 · noise$162+$127K lifetime
- 388111260% won of 1,119 · whale$141+$450K lifetime
- 4alphaunc64% won of 25$93−$5.9K lifetime
- 50xe605…ac5f29% won of 257$75−$6.4K lifetime
No$39K on it
- 1Marc34582% won of 11$7.7K+$1.3K lifetime
- 2GOLADS9677% won of 60$4.9K−$2.2K lifetime
- 3Lord-Of-Democracy84% won of 80$4.6K−$2.4K lifetime
- 4Alpheo81% won of 42 · balanced$4.2K+$9.4K lifetime
- 5sabsabinxz70% won of 99 · whale$3.7K+$84K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?
2 more- December 31$279K vol.Yes 23%No 78%Smart money: Yes
- September 30$19K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?"?
307 wallets hold a position worth $40K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 307 of them. The largest Yes holder is vortl, with $196 on it, $4.2K lifetime loss over 207 markets (51% won). The largest No holder is Marc345, with $7.7K on it, $1.3K lifetime profit over 11 markets (82% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $262K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
61% of the money on Yes and 63% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.