Who's betting on “Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans No: 59% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 20 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $30K traded all time
- Held now
- $388 by 68 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 39% 61 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 59% 7 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
39% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 60 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
Who holds it
68 wallets hold a position worth $388 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x76cB9E809Fd1F9eEA8D14bdA815782223e417B47-1769670726555, with $48 on it, $675 lifetime loss over 5 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is PrimePenguin, with $149 on it, $5.5K lifetime profit over 628 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $116
- Holders' win rate
- 32%
- Holders
- 7
- Money on it
- $272
- Holders' win rate
- 66%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$116 on it
- 10x76cB9E809Fd1F9eEA8D14bdA815782223e417B47-17696707265550% won of 5$48−$675 lifetime
- 20x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$12+$64K lifetime
- 3donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$5+$829K lifetime
- 42B9S27% won of 14,477 · noise$5+$97K lifetime
- 50xd0d9…30f268% won of 319$4−$125 lifetime
No$272 on it
- 1PrimePenguin78% won of 628 · whale$149+$5.5K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 54,058$111−$377K lifetime
- 30xbe7d7f7bd98d4a029a9d79f1bfe26d97dabea356% won of 1,129 · balanced$10+$1.1K lifetime
- 40xe600…a90787% won of 293$2+$122 lifetime
- 5god8374389425% won of 20,848 · noise$0+$44K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
4 more- No change$89K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- 25 bps increase$86K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- 25 bps decrease$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps decrease$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $388 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 68 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x76cB9E809Fd1F9eEA8D14bdA815782223e417B47-1769670726555, with $48 on it, $675 lifetime loss over 5 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is PrimePenguin, with $149 on it, $5.5K lifetime profit over 628 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $30K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
39% of the money on Yes and 59% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 60 points. A week ago, No by 63 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.