Who's betting on “Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 60 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $86K traded all time
- Held now
- $29K by 169 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 108 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 16% 61 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 60 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
Who holds it
169 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is firegold, with $5.7K on it, $16K lifetime profit over 591 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $708 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won).
- Holders
- 108
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 61
- Money on it
- $914
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$28K on it
- 1firegold69% won of 591 · whale$5.7K+$16K lifetime
- 2aghy36% won of 11$4.6K+$195K lifetime
- 3perfectnostalgia52% won of 932 · whale$2.1K+$153K lifetime
- 4polmarke19593% won of 28 · balanced$1.9K+$5.7K lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$1.8K+$64K lifetime
No$914 on it
- 1Gaditima49% won of 12,109$708−$433K lifetime
- 20xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,148 · noise$84+$334K lifetime
- 3xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$17+$255K lifetime
- 4pootytherewardfarmer35% won of 10,703$15−$320K lifetime
- 5whumpa91% won of 234$15−$8.9K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
4 more- No change$89K vol.Yes 12%No 88%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps increase$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 25 bps decrease$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps decrease$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$954K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?"?
169 wallets hold a position worth $29K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 169 of them. The largest Yes holder is firegold, with $5.7K on it, $16K lifetime profit over 591 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $708 on it, $433K lifetime loss over 12,109 markets (49% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 13¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $86K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 16% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 60 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 65 points. A week ago, Yes by 42 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.