Who's betting on “Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans No: 100% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 28 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.1K by 87 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 72% 84 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 100% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
72% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points.
Who holds it
87 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is kod.cip, with $2 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 25 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is FUTBALL, with $1000 on it, $66K lifetime profit over 202 markets (67% won).
- Holders
- 84
- Money on it
- $13
- Holders' win rate
- 42%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $1.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 68%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$13 on it
- 1kod.cip0% won of 25$2−$7.8K lifetime
- 2donthackme29% won of 87,062 · noise$2+$829K lifetime
- 3e46m347% won of 87,779 · whale$1+$964K lifetime
- 40x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,286 · whale$1+$64K lifetime
- 5t4zuwbigfjnrs70% won of 10$1+$353 lifetime
No$1.1K on it
- 1FUTBALL67% won of 202 · whale$1000+$66K lifetime
- 2PrimePenguin78% won of 628 · whale$100+$5.5K lifetime
- 3tuterw26% won of 467$0−$255 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
4 more- No change$89K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: No
- 25 bps increase$86K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- 50+ bps increase$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 25 bps decrease$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 6%No 95%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$959K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is kod.cip, with $2 on it, $7.8K lifetime loss over 25 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is FUTBALL, with $1000 on it, $66K lifetime profit over 202 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Reserve Bank of Australia decreases interest rates by 50+ bps at the November 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 100% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.