Who's betting on “No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?”?
Smart money leans No: 83% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 17 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $88K traded all time
- Held now
- $11K by 160 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 65% 89 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 83% 70 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
65% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
160 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is firegold, with $781 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 591 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is SunlineTicker, with $1.6K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,508 markets (71% won).
- Holders
- 90
- Money on it
- $4.1K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
- Holders
- 70
- Money on it
- $7.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 57%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$4.1K on it
- 1firegold69% won of 591 · whale$781+$16K lifetime
- 2sjacobsonno record yet$423+$0 lifetime
- 3podairpod61% won of 821 · whale$382+$26K lifetime
- 4Gaditima49% won of 12,108$305−$432K lifetime
- 50x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-176165628427161% won of 6,283 · whale$233+$64K lifetime
No$7.0K on it
- 1SunlineTicker71% won of 1,508 · whale$1.6K+$329K lifetime
- 2grinder101147% won of 519 · whale$1.3K+$11K lifetime
- 3ryzt52% won of 201 · whale$877+$15K lifetime
- 4alpheclabs50% won of 15,303$589−$997K lifetime
- 5HerrieDavis63% won of 2,687 · whale$515+$325K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November
4 more- 25 bps increase$86K vol.Yes 87%No 13%Smart money: Yes
- 50+ bps increase$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 25 bps decrease$25K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 50+ bps decrease$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
Other big economy markets
- US recession by end of 2026?$2.4M vol.Yes 7%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money split
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?$1.7M vol.Yes 20%No 81%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$1.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026?$1.2M vol.Yes 78%No 23%Smart money: Yes
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?$952K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?$324K vol.Yes 31%No 70%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?"?
160 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 159 of them. The largest Yes holder is firegold, with $781 on it, $16K lifetime profit over 591 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is SunlineTicker, with $1.6K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,508 markets (71% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 88¢, an 88% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
65% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.