Who's betting on “Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $62K traded all time
- Held now
- $18K by 126 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 94% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 90% 52 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
The smart money
94% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
126 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them. The largest Yes holder is Arman2, with $117 on it, $100 lifetime profit over 334 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $12K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 74
- Money on it
- $464
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
- Holders
- 52
- Money on it
- $18K
- Holders' win rate
- 87%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$464 on it
- 1Arman265% won of 334 · whale$117+$100 lifetime
- 2gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$82+$12K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$65+$335K lifetime
- 4PaddyAlpha69% won of 402 · whale$54+$56K lifetime
- 5iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$44+$2.3K lifetime
No$18K on it
- 1DiaMat92% won of 111 · balanced$12K+$7.2K lifetime
- 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 518 · whale$2.2K+$62K lifetime
- 3beerpongwinner100% won of 14$1.0K−$429 lifetime
- 4WhateverXYZ86% won of 128 · balanced$618+$13K lifetime
- 5Anjun67% won of 1,886 · whale$483+$801K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?"?
126 wallets hold a position worth $18K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 125 of them. The largest Yes holder is Arman2, with $117 on it, $100 lifetime profit over 334 markets (65% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $12K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $62K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
94% of the money on Yes and 90% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 21 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.