Who's betting on “Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $24K traded all time
- Held now
- $5.4K by 70 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 37 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 91% 33 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
70 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $127 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $1.8K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
- Holders
- 37
- Money on it
- $619
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$619 on it
- 1gods-eye59% won of 32 · balanced$127+$12K lifetime
- 2AXIOSinsider31% won of 29 · noise$107+$431 lifetime
- 3raskell269% won of 13$68+$4.5K lifetime
- 4xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$55+$254K lifetime
- 50xff7c…b23367% won of 500 · whale$45+$61K lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 1DiaMat92% won of 111 · balanced$1.8K+$7.2K lifetime
- 2M2sx92kljs4278% won of 518 · whale$1.2K+$62K lifetime
- 3iHaveBeenPwned80% won of 5$433+$2.3K lifetime
- 4MrMelonHead66% won of 381 · whale$401+$12K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,970 · noise$230+$28K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?"?
70 wallets hold a position worth $5.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 70 of them. The largest Yes holder is gods-eye, with $127 on it, $12K lifetime profit over 32 markets (59% won). The largest No holder is DiaMat, with $1.8K on it, $7.2K lifetime profit over 111 markets (92% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Pakistan military action against Yemen by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 12¢ and No at 89¢, an 89% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 91% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.