Who's betting on “Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?”?
Polkyo has not scored enough holders on both sides yet to say where the smart money sits. It fills in as people trade.
- Volume
- $32K traded all time
- Held now
- $714 by 26 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- - 12 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- - 14 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 16, 2026.
The smart money
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
Who holds it
26 wallets hold a position worth $714 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them.
- Holders
- 12
- Money on it
- $325
- Holders' win rate
- 54%
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $389
- Holders' win rate
- 58%
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
1 moreOther big geopolitics markets
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- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.5M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?"?
26 wallets hold a position worth $714 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 26 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 47¢ and No at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 16, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
One side holds too little money from wallets with a record (under $5K) to compare where the profitable money sits; Polkyo shows no lean until both sides have enough.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 16, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.