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Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)”?

Sports$77K traded66 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
27%Cavaliers
73%Wizards

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$77K
traded all time
Held now
$68K
by 66 wallets
Smart share · Cavaliers
96%
33 scored holders
Smart share · Wizards
92%
33 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 27¢ and Wizards at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of Wizards. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

96% of the money on Cavaliers and 92% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

Who holds it

66 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is keeptheblueflagflyinghigh, with $15K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,631 markets (57% won). The largest Wizards holder is betdge, with $38K on it, $334K lifetime profit over 2,267 markets (51% won).

Cavaliers27%
Smart money share96%
Holders
33
Money on it
$18K
Holders' win rate
57%
Wizards73%
Smart money share92%
Holders
33
Money on it
$50K
Holders' win rate
53%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Cavaliers$18K on it

  1. 1keeptheblueflagflyinghigh57% won of 1,631 · whale$15K+$329K lifetime
  2. 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,104 · whale$1.5K+$2.9M lifetime
  3. 3651239531459788451% won of 10,776$346−$64K lifetime
  4. 4BullishBarb65% won of 1,752 · whale$244+$89K lifetime
  5. 5justaluckydude62% won of 12,923 · whale$227+$1.4M lifetime

Wizards$50K on it

  1. 1betdge51% won of 2,267 · whale$38K+$334K lifetime
  2. 2gagarin5967% won of 807 · whale$2.9K+$75K lifetime
  3. 3lq482174% won of 474$1.2K−$45K lifetime
  4. 4aibaby49% won of 248 · whale$960+$60K lifetime
  5. 5Flaznorp52% won of 139,982 · whale$812+$1.2M lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)"?

66 wallets hold a position worth $68K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 66 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is keeptheblueflagflyinghigh, with $15K on it, $329K lifetime profit over 1,631 markets (57% won). The largest Wizards holder is betdge, with $38K on it, $334K lifetime profit over 2,267 markets (51% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)"?

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 27¢ and Wizards at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of Wizards. $77K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

96% of the money on Cavaliers and 92% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.