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Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)”?

Sports$181K traded176 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 28, 2026
52%Cavaliers🧠 smart money
49%Wizards

Smart money leans Cavaliers: 93% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 22 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$181K
traded all time
Held now
$137K
by 176 wallets
Smart share · Cavaliers
93%
64 scored holders
Smart share · Wizards
70%
111 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 52¢ and Wizards at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Cavaliers. $181K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

93% of the money on Cavaliers and 70% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Cavaliers, by 22 points.

Who holds it

176 wallets hold a position worth $137K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $57K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $12K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,090 markets (56% won).

Sharp money

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $12K on Wizards.

Cavaliers52%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share93%
Holders
64
Money on it
$70K
Holders' win rate
88%
Wizards49%
Smart money share70%
Holders
112
Money on it
$66K
Holders' win rate
71%
Snipers
2 · $12K

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Cavaliers$70K on it

  1. 1monkeymashingkeyboard91% won of 678 · whale$57K+$848K lifetime
  2. 20x4278F7E5CB5f2d68d204d7403270c79CB07e0E92-176272476894191% won of 341$2.8K−$14K lifetime
  3. 3Sammybolung75% won of 113 · whale$2.4K+$13K lifetime
  4. 40xAbF543512f33E2D754ada028a689610139Cccfeb-176097440149496% won of 404 · whale$2.2K+$29K lifetime
  5. 5FaroeseNationalist49% won of 1,020 · whale$1.1K+$66K lifetime

Wizards$66K on it

  1. 1HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,090 · whale$12K+$2.9M lifetime
  2. 2ferrariChampions202658% won of 27,775 · whale$10K+$1.9M lifetime
  3. 3chongchong3786% won of 106 · sniper$6.8K+$205K lifetime
  4. 4ArielFilipino91% won of 113 · sniper$4.8K+$559K lifetime
  5. 5ComingBack97% won of 610$4.6K−$669K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)"?

176 wallets hold a position worth $137K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is monkeymashingkeyboard, with $57K on it, $848K lifetime profit over 678 markets (91% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $12K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 21,090 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-9.5)"?

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 52¢ and Wizards at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Cavaliers. $181K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

93% of the money on Cavaliers and 70% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Cavaliers, by 22 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.