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Who's betting on “Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)”?

Sports$10K traded45 holdersEnds October 28, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
47%Cavaliers🧠 smart money
54%Wizards

Smart money leans Cavaliers: 81% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 33 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$4.4K
by 45 wallets
Smart share · Cavaliers
81%
22 scored holders
Smart share · Wizards
48%
23 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 47¢ and Wizards at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of Wizards. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

The smart money

81% of the money on Cavaliers and 48% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Cavaliers, by 33 points.

Who holds it

45 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is takeormake, with $699 on it, $1.0M lifetime profit over 5,265 markets (65% won). The largest Wizards holder is 6512395314597884, with $418 on it, $64K lifetime loss over 10,776 markets (51% won).

Cavaliers47%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share81%
Holders
22
Money on it
$2.1K
Holders' win rate
66%
Wizards54%
Smart money share48%
Holders
23
Money on it
$2.4K
Holders' win rate
55%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Cavaliers$2.1K on it

  1. 1takeormake65% won of 5,265 · whale$699+$1.0M lifetime
  2. 2HomeRunHazard56% won of 21,104 · whale$305+$2.9M lifetime
  3. 3hellosssssssss86% won of 288 · whale$302+$14K lifetime
  4. 4almet76% won of 425$233−$34K lifetime
  5. 5justaluckydude62% won of 12,923 · whale$96+$1.4M lifetime

Wizards$2.4K on it

  1. 1651239531459788451% won of 10,776$418−$64K lifetime
  2. 2Flaznorp52% won of 139,982 · whale$388+$1.2M lifetime
  3. 3suitcase662855% won of 8,444$310−$80K lifetime
  4. 40x9b11…537550% won of 5,695 · whale$285+$468K lifetime
  5. 5Anon45553% won of 7,396$276−$62K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)"?

45 wallets hold a position worth $4.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Cavaliers holder is takeormake, with $699 on it, $1.0M lifetime profit over 5,265 markets (65% won). The largest Wizards holder is 6512395314597884, with $418 on it, $64K lifetime loss over 10,776 markets (51% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)"?

Polymarket prices Cavaliers at 47¢ and Wizards at 54¢, a 54% implied chance of Wizards. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 28, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Cavaliers and 48% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Cavaliers, by 33 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 28, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.