Who's betting on “Spread: Bulls (-4.5)”?
Sports · $6.5K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Bulls at 1¢ and Wizards at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of Wizards. $6.5K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
75% of the money on Bulls and 95% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wizards, by 20 points.
38 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Bulls holder is HomeRunHazard, with $10 on it, $3.1M lifetime profit over 18,562 markets (56% won). The largest Wizards holder is Flaznorp, with $1.7K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 118,727 markets (53% won).
- Smart money share
- 75%
- Holders
- 15
- Money on it
- $32
- Holders' winrate
- 65%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 95%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HomeRunHazardwhale | $10 | +$3.1M | 56% of 18,562 |
| MaktManbalanced | $8 | +$23K | 75% of 36 |
| traba | $7 | -$4.3K | 73% of 189 |
| Anon455whale | $2 | +$41K | 54% of 5,500 |
| olgagrin | $1 | +$101 | 56% of 9 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flaznorpwhale | $1.7K | +$1.2M | 53% of 118,727 |
| keeptheblueflagflyinghighwhale | $549 | +$456K | 58% of 811 |
| justaluckydudewhale | $276 | +$1.4M | 62% of 11,328 |
| ferdinand2whale | $232 | +$66K | 47% of 11,303 |
| 0x6a21…11d8 | $198 | - | - |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Wizards vs. Bulls
- Wizards vs. Bulls$3.2M vol.Wizards 100%Bulls 0%Smart money: Wizards
- Spread -1.5$693K vol.Bulls 1%Wizards 99%Smart money: Bulls
- Spread -2.5$99K vol.Bulls 2%Wizards 98%Smart money: Bulls
- O/U 244.5$65K vol.Over 7%Under 94%Smart money: Over
- O/U 239.5$35K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Smart money: Over
- Spread -1.5$32K vol.Wizards 98%Bulls 2%Smart money: Bulls
- O/U 238.5$21K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Smart money: Under
- Spread -2.5$15K vol.Wizards 91%Bulls 9%Smart money: Wizards
- O/U 246.5$15K vol.Over 8%Under 93%Smart money: Under
- Spread -3.5$14K vol.Bulls 2%Wizards 98%Smart money: Wizards
- Spread -9.5$13K vol.Wizards 3%Bulls 97%Smart money: Bulls
- Spread -3.5$13K vol.Wizards 92%Bulls 8%Smart money: Bulls
- O/U 243.5$12K vol.Over 12%Under 88%Smart money split
- O/U 242.5$10.0K vol.Over 5%Under 95%Smart money: Under
- Spread -6.5$9.0K vol.Bulls 1%Wizards 99%Smart money: Bulls
- Spread -6.5$8.8K vol.Wizards 3%Bulls 98%Smart money: Bulls
- Spread -8.5$6.9K vol.Bulls 3%Wizards 98%Smart money: Bulls
- O/U 230.5$6.4K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Smart money: Over
- Spread -9.5$6.3K vol.Bulls 1%Wizards 100%Smart money: Wizards
- O/U 236.5$6.3K vol.Over 100%Under 0%Smart money: Under
- Spread -5.5$6.1K vol.Wizards 84%Bulls 16%Smart money: Bulls
- Spread -4.5$5.6K vol.Wizards 87%Bulls 13%Smart money: Bulls
- Spread -11.5$5.5K vol.Wizards 1%Bulls 99%Smart money: Wizards
- Spread -13.5$5.1K vol.Wizards 2%Bulls 98%Smart money split
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Questions
Who is betting on "Spread: Bulls (-4.5)"?
38 wallets hold a position worth $3.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Bulls holder is HomeRunHazard, with $10 on it, $3.1M lifetime profit over 18,562 markets (56% won). The largest Wizards holder is Flaznorp, with $1.7K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 118,727 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Bulls (-4.5)"?
Polymarket prices Bulls at 1¢ and Wizards at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of Wizards. $6.5K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Bulls and 95% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wizards, by 20 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.