Who's betting on “Spread: Hornets (-2.5)”?

Sports · $166K volume · Ends October 26, 2026 · Updated October 26, 2026

Polymarket prices Hornets at 52¢ and Wizards at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Hornets. $166K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.

21% of the money on Hornets and 56% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wizards, by 34 points.

149 wallets hold a position worth $162K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Hornets holder is texaskid, with $36K on it, $360K lifetime loss over 240 markets (98% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $17K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 19,932 markets (56% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $9.7K on Wizards.

Hornets52%
Smart money share
21%
Holders
49
Money on it
$83K
Holders' winrate
83%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Wizards49%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
56%
Holders
100
Money on it
$78K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
1 · $9.7K
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Hornets
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
texaskid$36K-$360K98% of 240
mooseborzoii$27K-$457K72% of 1,998
SunlineTickerwhale$6.8K+$334K71% of 1,340
BullishBarbwhale$3.8K+$86K65% of 1,351
woshikd99$3.6K+$14K79% of 14
Wizards
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
HomeRunHazardwhale$17K+$2.9M56% of 19,932
meoooow$14K-$656K41% of 1,365
leungchihangsniper$9.7K+$99K80% of 56
cay520$8.0K-$35K85% of 40
AppleTiiimebalanced$4.8K+$70K67% of 54
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Spread: Hornets (-2.5)"?

149 wallets hold a position worth $162K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Hornets holder is texaskid, with $36K on it, $360K lifetime loss over 240 markets (98% won). The largest Wizards holder is HomeRunHazard, with $17K on it, $2.9M lifetime profit over 19,932 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Spread: Hornets (-2.5)"?

Polymarket prices Hornets at 52¢ and Wizards at 49¢, a 52% implied chance of Hornets. $166K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 26, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

21% of the money on Hornets and 56% of the money on Wizards is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Wizards, by 34 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 26, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.