Who's betting on “Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 91% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 81 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $110K traded all time
- Held now
- $320 by 20 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 14 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 9% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $110K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 85 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
Who holds it
20 wallets hold a position worth $320 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $37 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is baybug, with $197 on it, $914 lifetime loss over 253 markets (91% won).
- Holders
- 14
- Money on it
- $88
- Holders' win rate
- 41%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $232
- Holders' win rate
- 87%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$88 on it
- 1xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,272 · noise$37+$254K lifetime
- 2Chersi40% won of 194 · noise$29+$186 lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,480 · noise$6+$97K lifetime
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 54,120$4−$378K lifetime
- 5winexecutescale54% won of 2,437 · balanced$4+$3.5K lifetime
No$232 on it
- 1baybug91% won of 253$197−$914 lifetime
- 2javax-139no record yet$10−$10 lifetime
- 30x86Dd5200572b3EAe548d8fd9E807b78468D41Af2-176805201311273% won of 971 · balanced$7+$537 lifetime
- 4adsfasdf11346% won of 4,488 · balanced$7+$345 lifetime
- 5asdfll146% won of 4,526 · balanced$7+$486 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iran coup attempt by...?
1 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?"?
20 wallets hold a position worth $320 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 20 of them. The largest Yes holder is xtxpleasecallme, with $37 on it, $254K lifetime profit over 123,272 markets (40% won). The largest No holder is baybug, with $197 on it, $914 lifetime loss over 253 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 27¢ and No at 73¢, a 73% implied chance of No. $110K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 81 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 85 points. A week ago, Yes by 48 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.