Who's betting on “Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 92% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 80 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $177K traded all time
- Held now
- $46K by 179 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 92% 62 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 12% 117 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $177K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
92% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 76 points. A week ago, Yes by 77 points.
Who holds it
179 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 179 of them. The largest Yes holder is Warren-Buffett, with $1.6K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $34K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
- Holders
- 62
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 72%
- Holders
- 117
- Money on it
- $42K
- Holders' win rate
- 62%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.7K on it
- 1Warren-Buffett68% won of 1,051 · whale$1.6K+$127K lifetime
- 2Croc78100% won of 7$899+$1.2K lifetime
- 3Hakei.71% won of 1,028 · whale$271+$91K lifetime
- 4Brookzabo63% won of 16$139+$42K lifetime
- 5kohalacoastgabe56% won of 202$124−$12K lifetime
No$42K on it
- 1anoin12359% won of 1,608$34K−$4.7M lifetime
- 2Car58% won of 1,784 · whale$1.8K+$1.5M lifetime
- 30xE41adDdfD269f811c8dc173237eD8C4F213d29bD-178604115318879% won of 125$1.8K−$137 lifetime
- 4HuskyRRRRR91% won of 163 · whale$1.3K+$8.8K lifetime
- 5baybug91% won of 253$412−$914 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Iran coup attempt by...?
1 moreOther big iran markets
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?$3.9M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?$3.7M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$2.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$2.1M vol.Yes 14%No 87%Smart money: No
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: Yes
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?$1.3M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by October 31?$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?$979K vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?"?
179 wallets hold a position worth $46K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 179 of them. The largest Yes holder is Warren-Buffett, with $1.6K on it, $127K lifetime profit over 1,051 markets (68% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $34K on it, $4.7M lifetime loss over 1,608 markets (59% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 8¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $177K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
92% of the money on Yes and 12% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 80 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 76 points. A week ago, Yes by 77 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.