Who's betting on “GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?”?
Smart money leans No: 74% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 35 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.0K by 32 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 16 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 74% 16 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 14¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points.
Who holds it
32 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is yoyobb2018, with $829 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is Xeny, with $134 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 250 markets (61% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $98 on Yes.
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $1.7K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $98
- Holders
- 16
- Money on it
- $271
- Holders' win rate
- 60%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$1.7K on it
- 1yoyobb201878% won of 1,049$829−$1.7K lifetime
- 2doil73% won of 406 · whale$256+$11K lifetime
- 3Bodytobody14% won of 464$178−$192K lifetime
- 4pechnaud65% won of 26$173+$12 lifetime
- 5xcaiox84% won of 254 · sniper$98+$13K lifetime
No$271 on it
- 1Xeny61% won of 250 · whale$134+$106K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,235 · noise$27+$255K lifetime
- 3lissartter56% won of 2,997$24−$287K lifetime
- 4Drunken-Mentat76% won of 223 · balanced$22+$5.4K lifetime
- 5SmartBoyBilly58% won of 2,620$14−$9.0K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in GPT-7 released by...?
1 moreOther big tech markets
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- GTA 6 launch postponed again?$897K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$885K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- FDA approves Retatrutide this year?$596K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?$498K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?$495K vol.Yes 56%No 44%Smart money split
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?$456K vol.Yes 42%No 59%Smart money split
Questions
Who is betting on "GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?"?
32 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 32 of them. The largest Yes holder is yoyobb2018, with $829 on it, $1.7K lifetime loss over 1,049 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is Xeny, with $134 on it, $106K lifetime profit over 250 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "GPT-7 released by December 31, 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 87¢ and No at 14¢, an 87% implied chance of Yes. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 35 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 35 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.