Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 64% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $54K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.7K by 109 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 55% 86 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 64% 23 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
55% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points.
Who holds it
109 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $30 on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,000 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is carboyant, with $2.7K on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 727 markets (91% won).
- Holders
- 86
- Money on it
- $251
- Holders' win rate
- 26%
- Holders
- 23
- Money on it
- $6.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 77%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$251 on it
- 1Mei-ji26% won of 1,000$30−$9.9K lifetime
- 2ihrekunst3% won of 434 · noise$30+$7.7K lifetime
- 30xae8e51fE57d693Ef2140b3cf64029526bf13AFC1-177561160686324% won of 147$22−$3.3K lifetime
- 4Bitgod41% won of 1,241 · noise$13+$60K lifetime
- 5Sugarina6% won of 655 · noise$12+$11K lifetime
No$6.5K on it
- 1carboyant91% won of 727 · whale$2.7K+$1.9K lifetime
- 2Kurumi.chan.17% won of 152 · noise$996+$145 lifetime
- 3kaiajerry82% won of 209$838−$56 lifetime
- 4Eulaliabrown89% won of 131$699−$2.8K lifetime
- 5zhenni92% won of 473$398−$4.2K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
20 more- 260-279$149K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 240-259$116K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 280-299$115K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 300-319$92K vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- 320-339$90K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: No
- 340-359$85K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: No
- 360-379$79K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- 400-419$64K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 440-459$60K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 380-399$59K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- 460-479$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 500-519$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 480-499$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 220-239$49K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 200-219$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 160-179$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 180-199$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 140-159$26K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 120-139$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 100-119$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?
109 wallets hold a position worth $6.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 109 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $30 on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,000 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is carboyant, with $2.7K on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 727 markets (91% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $54K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
55% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 31 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.