Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 40% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 9 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $92K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 363 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 40% 228 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 30% 134 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $92K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
40% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points.
Who holds it
363 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 362 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.2K on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,000 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is GoldenSpin, with $4.3K on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 219 markets (44% won).
- Holders
- 229
- Money on it
- $10K
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 134
- Money on it
- $9.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 56%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$10K on it
- 1Mei-ji26% won of 1,000$1.2K−$9.9K lifetime
- 2dddtrips66% won of 264$775−$55K lifetime
- 3RickRockRick26% won of 353 · noise$558+$11K lifetime
- 4Bitgod41% won of 1,241 · noise$502+$60K lifetime
- 5TweetPulse.Live11% won of 710$497−$4.2K lifetime
No$9.4K on it
- 1GoldenSpin44% won of 219$4.3K−$2.0K lifetime
- 2ElonSimp55% won of 544 · whale$1.2K+$14K lifetime
- 3blisni96% won of 376 · balanced$853+$2.3K lifetime
- 40xdf95…d76e57% won of 212$670−$159 lifetime
- 5WhoseHouseRamsHouse96% won of 914$399−$26K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
20 more- 260-279$149K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 240-259$116K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 280-299$115K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 320-339$90K vol.Yes 35%No 66%Smart money: No
- 340-359$85K vol.Yes 29%No 71%Smart money: No
- 360-379$79K vol.Yes 11%No 89%Smart money: No
- 400-419$64K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 440-459$60K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 380-399$59K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money split
- 420-439$54K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- 460-479$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 500-519$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 480-499$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 220-239$49K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 200-219$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 160-179$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 180-199$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 140-159$26K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 120-139$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 100-119$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?
363 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 362 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $1.2K on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,000 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is GoldenSpin, with $4.3K on it, $2.0K lifetime loss over 219 markets (44% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 85¢, an 85% implied chance of No. $92K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
40% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 22 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.