Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?”?
Smart money leans No: 82% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 34 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $102K traded all time
- Held now
- $20K by 202 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 48% 136 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 82% 64 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
The smart money
48% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points.
Who holds it
202 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $415 on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,000 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is 0xf14e…6173, with $7.9K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 141 markets (87% won).
- Holders
- 137
- Money on it
- $3.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 36%
- Holders
- 65
- Money on it
- $16K
- Holders' win rate
- 74%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$3.8K on it
- 1Mei-ji26% won of 1,000$415−$9.9K lifetime
- 2ElonJail63% won of 406 · whale$318+$19K lifetime
- 3hetacz28% won of 1,840 · noise$216+$18K lifetime
- 4RickRockRick26% won of 353 · noise$185+$11K lifetime
- 50xa3fb…2e84no record yet$174
No$16K on it
- 10xf14e…617387% won of 141 · balanced$7.9K+$17K lifetime
- 2ElonSimp55% won of 544 · whale$3.0K+$14K lifetime
- 30xPoni-Elon46% won of 362 · balanced$721+$3.7K lifetime
- 4icariam0642% won of 442$474−$5.9K lifetime
- 5carmelk82% won of 179$443−$282 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Elon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
20 more- 260-279$128K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 240-259$116K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 300-319$84K vol.Yes 16%No 84%Smart money: Yes
- 320-339$81K vol.Yes 37%No 63%Smart money: No
- 340-359$80K vol.Yes 28%No 72%Smart money: No
- 360-379$75K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- 400-419$61K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- 380-399$56K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- 440-459$56K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 420-439$51K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- 460-479$40K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 500-519$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 480-499$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- 220-239$49K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 200-219$44K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 160-179$40K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- 180-199$37K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 140-159$26K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 120-139$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- 100-119$17K vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?
202 wallets hold a position worth $20K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Yes holder is Mei-ji, with $415 on it, $9.9K lifetime loss over 1,000 markets (26% won). The largest No holder is 0xf14e…6173, with $7.9K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 141 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $102K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 34 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 36 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.