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Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?”?

Politics$128K traded219 holdersEnds October 30, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
0%Yes
100%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$128K
traded all time
Held now
$14K
by 219 wallets
Smart share · Yes
61%
130 scored holders
Smart share · No
66%
87 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $128K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.

The smart money

61% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points.

Who holds it

219 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 217 of them. The largest Yes holder is hetacz, with $39 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 1,840 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is miaoa1, with $2.0K on it, $508 lifetime loss over 50 markets (90% won).

Yes0%
Smart money share61% ▲ 16 pts in 24 h
a day ago 45%now 61%
Holders
132
Money on it
$316
Holders' win rate
34%
No100%
Smart money share66% ▼ 9 pts in 24 h
a day ago 75%now 66%
Holders
87
Money on it
$14K
Holders' win rate
85%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$316 on it

  1. 1hetacz28% won of 1,840 · noise$39+$18K lifetime
  2. 2Mei-ji26% won of 1,000$26−$9.9K lifetime
  3. 3ElonJail63% won of 406 · whale$22+$19K lifetime
  4. 4LinaBell🦊15% won of 1,310 · noise$20+$51K lifetime
  5. 5Bitgod41% won of 1,241 · noise$15+$60K lifetime

No$14K on it

  1. 1miaoa190% won of 50$2.0K−$508 lifetime
  2. 2bipbipbop51% won of 1,875 · whale$1.9K+$106K lifetime
  3. 3blisni96% won of 376 · balanced$860+$2.3K lifetime
  4. 4WhoseHouseRamsHouse96% won of 914$810−$26K lifetime
  5. 5111Cleophus-Grimble87% won of 102$387−$4.3K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?

219 wallets hold a position worth $14K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 217 of them. The largest Yes holder is hetacz, with $39 on it, $18K lifetime profit over 1,840 markets (28% won). The largest No holder is miaoa1, with $2.0K on it, $508 lifetime loss over 50 markets (90% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $128K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 30, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

61% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned No, by 30 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on October 30, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.