Who's betting on “Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 63% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 13 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $11K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.3K by 52 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 63% 23 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 50% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
63% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points.
Who holds it
52 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $262 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $200 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).
- Holders
- 24
- Money on it
- $673
- Holders' win rate
- 47%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $665
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$673 on it
- 10x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$262+$127K lifetime
- 2Yaenshno record yet$161+$0 lifetime
- 3rocky4201056% won of 658 · whale$67+$14K lifetime
- 40x0e60E9443c931e7cd0Bf03bC487Ac82f01645A94-1769694195117100% won of 1$45−$105 lifetime
- 50x60FC2d63b13230cdB55167AFa75f1636c76776e6-176840979791159% won of 17$23−$86 lifetime
No$665 on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$200+$179K lifetime
- 2Haradwaith50% won of 53,968$119−$377K lifetime
- 32B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$54+$97K lifetime
- 4GuyFromTinder37% won of 22,344$51−$89K lifetime
- 5iuH1398SI73% won of 391$48−$15K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
5 more- No Next Minister by Feb 28$70K vol.Yes 50%No 50%Smart money: Yes
- Gadi Eizenkot$26K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Naftali Bennett$19K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Gideon Sa’ar$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Avigdor Lieberman$10K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
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- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?"?
52 wallets hold a position worth $1.3K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 51 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938, with $262 on it, $127K lifetime profit over 9,618 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is HolyMoses7, with $200 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Yair Lapid be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 23¢ and No at 78¢, a 78% implied chance of No. $11K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 50% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.