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Who's betting on “Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?”?

Politics$10K traded39 holdersEnds March 1, 2027Updated October 29, 2026
2%Yes🧠 smart money
98%No

Smart money leans Yes: 71% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 63 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$10K
traded all time
Held now
$117
by 39 wallets
Smart share · Yes
71%
29 scored holders
Smart share · No
9%
10 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

The smart money

71% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points.

Who holds it

39 wallets hold a position worth $117 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2B9S, with $13 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 14,444 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $59 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,114 markets (46% won).

Yes2%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share71% ▲ 1 pts in 24 h
a day ago 70%now 71%
Holders
29
Money on it
$52
Holders' win rate
43%
No98%
Smart money share9% ▼ 43 pts in 24 h
a day ago 52%now 9%
Holders
10
Money on it
$66
Holders' win rate
49%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$52 on it

  1. 12B9S27% won of 14,444 · noise$13+$97K lifetime
  2. 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,242 · noise$9+$255K lifetime
  3. 3HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$8+$179K lifetime
  4. 4Numitus199449% won of 15,720$3−$28K lifetime
  5. 5Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$3−$485K lifetime

No$66 on it

  1. 1cigarettes46% won of 49,114$59−$48K lifetime
  2. 2PPMT70% won of 56,626 · whale$3+$16K lifetime
  3. 3EconProf83% won of 396 · balanced$2+$235 lifetime
  4. 4mangostein43% won of 412$1−$499 lifetime
  5. 5qcp273% won of 251 · whale$1+$1.3K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?"?

39 wallets hold a position worth $117 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is 2B9S, with $13 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 14,444 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $59 on it, $48K lifetime loss over 49,114 markets (46% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

71% of the money on Yes and 9% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.