Who's betting on “Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?”?
Smart money leans No: 96% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 14 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $16K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.5K by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 82% 31 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 96% 6 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
The smart money
82% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $31 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is M2sx92kljs42, with $1.4K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 517 markets (78% won).
- Holders
- 33
- Money on it
- $82
- Holders' win rate
- 49%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $1.5K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$82 on it
- 1HolyMoses753% won of 1,503 · whale$31+$179K lifetime
- 2xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,230 · noise$13+$254K lifetime
- 30xfb26…dbebno record yet$5
- 4Haradwaith50% won of 53,882$5−$377K lifetime
- 50x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-177187035393842% won of 9,618 · whale$5+$127K lifetime
No$1.5K on it
- 1M2sx92kljs4278% won of 517 · whale$1.4K+$61K lifetime
- 2cigarettes46% won of 49,046$59−$49K lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,369 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
- 4donthackme29% won of 86,370 · noise$0+$828K lifetime
- 5mustbethewater45% won of 27,147 · whale$0+$74K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?
5 more- No Next Minister by Feb 28$70K vol.Yes 45%No 55%Smart money: Yes
- Gadi Eizenkot$26K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Naftali Bennett$19K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Yair Lapid$11K vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: Yes
- Avigdor Lieberman$10K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $1.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 37 of them. The largest Yes holder is HolyMoses7, with $31 on it, $179K lifetime profit over 1,503 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is M2sx92kljs42, with $1.4K on it, $61K lifetime profit over 517 markets (78% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $16K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on March 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
82% of the money on Yes and 96% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 14 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 14 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on March 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.