Who's betting on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $57K traded all time
- Held now
- $32K by 146 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 87% 116 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 64 points.
Who holds it
146 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is Huye168, with $12 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 1,136 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is C03B, with $20K on it, $347K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (85% won).
- Holders
- 30
- Money on it
- $16
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 116
- Money on it
- $32K
- Holders' win rate
- 84%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$16 on it
- 1Huye16866% won of 1,136 · whale$12+$1.1K lifetime
- 20xef1b…da75no record yet$1
- 3grasstoucher6956% won of 6,522 · whale$1+$157K lifetime
- 40x1C335c7361bb791e180C3E17aD1308B1eEBfAb72-177138366313840% won of 77$0−$55 lifetime
- 5tynas3k21% won of 156$0−$572 lifetime
No$32K on it
- 1C03B85% won of 1,198 · whale$20K+$347K lifetime
- 2Avamax74% won of 770 · whale$3.8K+$17K lifetime
- 3betsybamwiine82% won of 83$577+$97 lifetime
- 4forouhar.sarmad79% won of 100$531+$56 lifetime
- 5schadenearlene84% won of 88 · balanced$440+$4 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?
14 more- ↓ $3,800$62K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- ↓ $3,900$52K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: Yes
- ↑ $4,700$31K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↑ $4,800$29K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↓ $3,700$29K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $4,400$28K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- ↑ $4,300$25K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↓ $3,600$22K vol.Yes 1%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↑ $4,500$21K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- ↑ $4,200$17K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- ↑ $4,600$16K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- ↓ $4,000$29K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- ↓ $4,100$12K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
- ↑ $4,200$11K vol. · ClosedResolved YesSmart money: Yes
Other big finance markets
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$9.2M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?$8.0M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$5.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?$3.6M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?"?
146 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 145 of them. The largest Yes holder is Huye168, with $12 on it, $1.1K lifetime profit over 1,136 markets (66% won). The largest No holder is C03B, with $20K on it, $347K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (85% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $57K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 87% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 64 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.