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Who's betting on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?”?

Finance$28K traded83 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes
99%No

The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.

Volume
$28K
traded all time
Held now
$8.8K
by 83 wallets
Smart share · Yes
79%
44 scored holders
Smart share · No
78%
39 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

79% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.

Who holds it

83 wallets hold a position worth $8.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is grasstoucher69, with $21 on it, $157K lifetime profit over 6,522 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $2.3K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share79%
7 days ago 80%a day ago 79%now 79%
Holders
44
Money on it
$101
Holders' win rate
57%
No99%
Smart money share78%
7 days ago 95%a day ago 78%now 78%
Holders
39
Money on it
$8.7K
Holders' win rate
70%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$101 on it

  1. 1grasstoucher6956% won of 6,522 · whale$21+$157K lifetime
  2. 2Leclerc0451% won of 1,214 · balanced$14+$3.8K lifetime
  3. 3k7X9mP2qW452% won of 327 · whale$11+$28K lifetime
  4. 4ng600080% won of 972 · whale$9+$41K lifetime
  5. 5GotGreenWood62% won of 1,052$6−$5.7K lifetime

No$8.7K on it

  1. 1Avamax74% won of 770 · whale$2.3K+$17K lifetime
  2. 2EgoVolae48% won of 862 · whale$2.1K+$62K lifetime
  3. 3GUZMANYGOMEZ96% won of 783$1.2K−$1.3K lifetime
  4. 4Typepluto100% won of 3$596+$150 lifetime
  5. 50xBeFdB67E3e990fE969556ED45DB9CCBA75f9272f-177445310498082% won of 33 · balanced$488+$1.3K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?"?

83 wallets hold a position worth $8.8K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 83 of them. The largest Yes holder is grasstoucher69, with $21 on it, $157K lifetime profit over 6,522 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is Avamax, with $2.3K on it, $17K lifetime profit over 770 markets (74% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $28K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

79% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 14 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.