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Who's betting on “Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?”?

Finance$25K traded106 holdersEnds November 1, 2026Updated October 29, 2026
1%Yes
99%No🧠 smart money

Smart money leans No: 86% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.

Volume
$25K
traded all time
Held now
$5.0K
by 106 wallets
Smart share · Yes
61%
56 scored holders
Smart share · No
86%
50 scored holders
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What the money says

The odds

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

The smart money

61% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

Who holds it

106 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is grasstoucher69, with $11 on it, $157K lifetime profit over 6,522 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is C03B, with $782 on it, $347K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (85% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share61% ▲ 8 pts in 24 h
7 days ago 49%a day ago 53%now 61%
Holders
56
Money on it
$55
Holders' win rate
59%
No99%
🧠 Smart money leans here
Smart money share86%
7 days ago 76%a day ago 85%now 86%
Holders
50
Money on it
$4.9K
Holders' win rate
66%

The biggest holders on each side

with their lifetime records

Yes$55 on it

  1. 1grasstoucher6956% won of 6,522 · whale$11+$157K lifetime
  2. 2acal79% won of 520 · whale$8+$15K lifetime
  3. 3Larix141% won of 92$7−$6.7K lifetime
  4. 4GotGreenWood62% won of 1,052$4−$5.7K lifetime
  5. 5garbagecollect164% won of 4,611 · whale$3+$6.0K lifetime

No$4.9K on it

  1. 1C03B85% won of 1,198 · whale$782+$347K lifetime
  2. 2pennedreadful40% won of 692 · noise$630+$51K lifetime
  3. 3PippiTrader63% won of 3,858 · whale$547+$37K lifetime
  4. 4nearping99% won of 336 · whale$495+$1.1K lifetime
  5. 5Avamax74% won of 770 · whale$438+$17K lifetime
Every holder on both sides, scored, on the live signal →
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See what the smart money does next, as it happens.

The live signalEvery holder scored, the smart-money chart since it was first tracked, and the order book.Alerts on this marketStar it and hear when it moves, or when a whale or a proven wallet goes in.Watch trades on SonarEvery Polymarket trade of $50+, live, as an ocean.AI Edge ScannerWhere Polkyo's model and the price disagree, after costs.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?"?

106 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 106 of them. The largest Yes holder is grasstoucher69, with $11 on it, $157K lifetime profit over 6,522 markets (56% won). The largest No holder is C03B, with $782 on it, $347K lifetime profit over 1,198 markets (85% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in October?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $25K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 1, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

61% of the money on Yes and 86% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 32 points. A week ago, No by 27 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 1, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.