Who's betting on “Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 54% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 25 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $192K traded all time
- Held now
- $36K by 172 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 54% 88 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 29% 83 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $192K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
The smart money
54% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
Who holds it
172 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 171 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403, with $259 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 186 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is fawfafwafafwa, with $9.4K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $468 on No.
- Holders
- 89
- Money on it
- $981
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
- Holders
- 83
- Money on it
- $35K
- Holders' win rate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 1 · $468
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$981 on it
- 10x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-176493290440382% won of 186 · whale$259+$19K lifetime
- 20x1A14Aa7ec0F3CAC325e395943Cb37c1D96DB0835-178337532482254% won of 98$126−$11K lifetime
- 3sha-mt83% won of 6$124−$545 lifetime
- 4OpenSourceIntel38% won of 379 · noise$57+$37K lifetime
- 5Get1048% won of 208$49−$22K lifetime
No$35K on it
- 1fawfafwafafwano record yet$9.4K+$0 lifetime
- 2RewardsMafia70% won of 214$6.5K−$82K lifetime
- 3arturfml131no record yet$4.4K+$0 lifetime
- 4Makasimka100% won of 1$1.9K+$1 lifetime
- 5SolFlip50% won of 64$1.1K−$1.1K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
Other big geopolitics markets
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?$16M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?$5.5M vol.Yes 10%No 91%Smart money split
- NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?$4.2M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$3.5M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: No
- NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$3.5M vol.Yes 16%No 85%Smart money: Yes
- Cuban regime falls in 2026?$1.8M vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: No
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$1.4M vol.Yes 13%No 88%Smart money: Yes
- China x Japan military clash before 2027?$1.4M vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?
172 wallets hold a position worth $36K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 171 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x0DccfaE62418c61D2F9A642e88Df39702D8Bd87c-1764932904403, with $259 on it, $19K lifetime profit over 186 markets (82% won). The largest No holder is fawfafwafafwa, with $9.4K on it, $0 lifetime profit.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $192K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
54% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 25 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 28 points. A week ago, No by 13 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.