Who's betting on “Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 75% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 18 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $21K traded all time
- Held now
- $584 by 55 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 75% 45 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 57% 10 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 20, 2026.
The smart money
75% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
Who holds it
55 wallets hold a position worth $584 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $12 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,570 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is JAMJAMJAM4, with $260 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 836 markets (97% won).
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $70
- Holders' win rate
- 48%
- Holders
- 10
- Money on it
- $515
- Holders' win rate
- 86%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$70 on it
- 1balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$12+$1.2M lifetime
- 2hochnaesigezicke65% won of 414 · balanced$10+$10.0K lifetime
- 3fiter17% won of 842 · noise$9+$50K lifetime
- 4Korne56% won of 200$7−$21K lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,253 · noise$6+$255K lifetime
No$515 on it
- 1JAMJAMJAM497% won of 836 · whale$260+$97K lifetime
- 20xFCe686833A8F7DeDe97BbAA6293906Eb52FabD7f-177115841698981% won of 722$103−$324 lifetime
- 30x08ef9Bb12E694e305D5E0cf1761874cE902aE466-175812791545470% won of 278$94−$492 lifetime
- 40x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,176 · whale$30+$19K lifetime
- 5sanlitouP2100% won of 1,126$20−$54 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"?
55 wallets hold a position worth $584 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 55 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $12 on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 52,570 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is JAMJAMJAM4, with $260 on it, $97K lifetime profit over 836 markets (97% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 18 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 18 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.