Who's betting on “Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?”?
Smart money leans No: 66% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 6 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $159K traded all time
- Held now
- $33K by 222 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 60% 104 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 66% 118 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 17¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $159K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 20, 2026.
The smart money
60% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
222 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 222 of them. The largest Yes holder is sucuk-mit-ei, with $8.8K on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 183 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $871 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $381 on Yes.
- Holders
- 104
- Money on it
- $28K
- Holders' win rate
- 63%
- Snipers
- 1 · $381
- Holders
- 118
- Money on it
- $4.2K
- Holders' win rate
- 59%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$28K on it
- 1sucuk-mit-ei73% won of 183 · balanced$8.8K+$4.6K lifetime
- 2Gaditima49% won of 12,107$6.9K−$432K lifetime
- 3Railcool74% won of 145 · whale$1.3K+$125K lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,451 · whale$1.3K+$1.2M lifetime
- 5honk7577% won of 365$1.1K−$17K lifetime
No$4.2K on it
- 1paddaa58% won of 1,507 · whale$871+$288K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$711−$4.7M lifetime
- 3sweetj64% won of 487 · whale$367+$11K lifetime
- 40x6b25…7a6953% won of 2,162 · whale$363+$19K lifetime
- 5knrad62% won of 1,121 · whale$276+$40K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"?
222 wallets hold a position worth $33K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 222 of them. The largest Yes holder is sucuk-mit-ei, with $8.8K on it, $4.6K lifetime profit over 183 markets (73% won). The largest No holder is paddaa, with $871 on it, $288K lifetime profit over 1,507 markets (58% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 84¢ and No at 17¢, an 84% implied chance of Yes. $159K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
60% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 6 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 6 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.