Who's betting on “Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 76% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 43 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $59K traded all time
- Held now
- $6.9K by 112 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 76% 71 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 32% 41 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 20, 2026.
The smart money
76% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
Who holds it
112 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $551 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $1.6K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $52 on Yes.
- Holders
- 71
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' win rate
- 50%
- Snipers
- 1 · $52
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $4.8K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2.0K on it
- 1SnapElectionAvoider48% won of 2,239 · whale$551+$203K lifetime
- 2Stex33% won of 6$297−$584 lifetime
- 3balthazar53% won of 52,570 · whale$226+$1.2M lifetime
- 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$139+$170K lifetime
- 5rabbit00745% won of 299 · noise$136+$44K lifetime
No$4.8K on it
- 1macrosteaks64% won of 2,614$1.6K−$8.2K lifetime
- 2anoin12359% won of 1,608$878−$4.7M lifetime
- 30x282E29ba8b717C9941f49e40d6cd7970aeE4e8e6-177534061081983% won of 146 · balanced$722+$3.1K lifetime
- 4Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed56% won of 15,956 · whale$369+$163K lifetime
- 5Esp1463% won of 8$176−$185 lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"?
112 wallets hold a position worth $6.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 112 of them. The largest Yes holder is SnapElectionAvoider, with $551 on it, $203K lifetime profit over 2,239 markets (48% won). The largest No holder is macrosteaks, with $1.6K on it, $8.2K lifetime loss over 2,614 markets (64% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 14¢ and No at 86¢, an 86% implied chance of No. $59K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on September 20, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
76% of the money on Yes and 32% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 43 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on September 20, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.