Who's betting on “Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 73% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 73 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $69K traded all time
- Held now
- $22 by 39 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 73% 36 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 0% 3 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $69K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
73% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 73 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.
Who holds it
39 wallets hold a position worth $22 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $0 on it, $667K lifetime profit over 7,413 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,627 markets (46% won).
- Holders
- 36
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' win rate
- 45%
- Holders
- 3
- Money on it
- $20
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$2 on it
- 1Bigggggggg47% won of 7,413 · whale$0+$667K lifetime
- 2norealtime65% won of 1,003 · whale$0+$955 lifetime
- 3Gorea5% won of 508$0−$586 lifetime
- 4balthazar53% won of 52,842 · whale$0+$1.2M lifetime
- 5donthackme29% won of 87,178 · noise$0+$829K lifetime
No$20 on it
- 1cigarettes46% won of 49,627$20−$52K lifetime
- 2i18z30% won of 349 · noise$0+$56K lifetime
- 3graynotebook1927% won of 24,324 · noise$0+$76K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
5 more- Delcy Rodríguez$123K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money: Yes
- No Head of State$73K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- María Corina Machado$56K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Frank Donovan$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Jorge Rodríguez$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
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- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?
39 wallets hold a position worth $22 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 39 of them. The largest Yes holder is Bigggggggg, with $0 on it, $667K lifetime profit over 7,413 markets (47% won). The largest No holder is cigarettes, with $20 on it, $52K lifetime loss over 49,627 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Vladimir Padrino López be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $69K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
73% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 73 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.