Who's betting on “Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?”?
Smart money leans Yes: 88% of the money on it is in the hands of wallets in profit overall, 64 points ahead of the other side.
- Volume
- $123K traded all time
- Held now
- $16K by 120 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 88% 73 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 24% 47 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $123K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
88% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
Who holds it
120 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is DFK, with $5.6K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is StrikeTrackers, with $296 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 201 markets (12% won).
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' win rate
- 76%
- Holders
- 47
- Money on it
- $633
- Holders' win rate
- 26%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$15K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$5.6K+$42K lifetime
- 2cashy74% won of 1,037 · whale$3.3K+$573K lifetime
- 3aviato80% won of 1,340 · whale$1.4K+$201K lifetime
- 4vinii64% won of 1,915 · whale$663+$170K lifetime
- 5BafanaBafana86% won of 28$633−$25K lifetime
No$633 on it
- 1StrikeTrackers12% won of 201$296−$10K lifetime
- 20x6E26f83678781069D603D7d318DDB4cB71925198-1768251870847no record yet$63−$3.5K lifetime
- 30xECF5456ABC1b6C324a55a9c45d75D63951f6B7af-178073517194029% won of 14$62−$255 lifetime
- 4Kalags53% won of 205 · whale$48+$68K lifetime
- 5rainbowlilies43% won of 2,665 · whale$36+$172K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
5 more- No Head of State$73K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Vladimir Padrino López$69K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- María Corina Machado$56K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
- Frank Donovan$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Jorge Rodríguez$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 18%No 83%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?
120 wallets hold a position worth $16K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 120 of them. The largest Yes holder is DFK, with $5.6K on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is StrikeTrackers, with $296 on it, $10K lifetime loss over 201 markets (12% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 95¢ and No at 5¢, a 95% implied chance of Yes. $123K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
88% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 64 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 65 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.