Who's betting on “Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $56K traded all time
- Held now
- $1.6K by 57 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 91% 29 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 89% 28 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
The smart money
91% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 77 points.
Who holds it
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe64024BEB9a733c3519524E24C5831D392121291-1771574603272, with $107 on it, $740 lifetime profit over 203 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $765 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
- Holders
- 29
- Money on it
- $166
- Holders' win rate
- 34%
- Holders
- 28
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' win rate
- 73%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$166 on it
- 10xe64024BEB9a733c3519524E24C5831D392121291-177157460327230% won of 203 · noise$107+$740 lifetime
- 2Edje2568% won of 859 · whale$8+$12K lifetime
- 3Sefir111134% won of 200 · noise$8+$310 lifetime
- 40x42d6…a42545% won of 202 · noise$7+$150 lifetime
- 5xtxpleasecallme40% won of 123,511 · noise$6+$254K lifetime
No$1.4K on it
- 1DFK81% won of 771 · whale$765+$42K lifetime
- 2kittycat6771% won of 303 · balanced$142+$1.5K lifetime
- 30xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-177694439549523% won of 12,163 · noise$85+$335K lifetime
- 4cigarettes46% won of 49,627$78−$52K lifetime
- 5aprilsulynj61% won of 23$64−$3.8K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?
5 more- Delcy Rodríguez$123K vol.Yes 95%No 5%Smart money: Yes
- No Head of State$73K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- Vladimir Padrino López$69K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Frank Donovan$42K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Jorge Rodríguez$11K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
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- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?
57 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 57 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xe64024BEB9a733c3519524E24C5831D392121291-1771574603272, with $107 on it, $740 lifetime profit over 203 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is DFK, with $765 on it, $42K lifetime profit over 771 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will María Corina Machado be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $56K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on December 31, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 89% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 77 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on December 31, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.