Who's betting on “Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?”?
The historically profitable money is split between the sides: neither is clearly ahead.
- Volume
- $13K traded all time
- Held now
- $2.4K by 45 wallets
- Smart share · Yes
- 67% 25 scored holders
- Smart share · No
- 67% 20 scored holders
What the money says
The odds
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
The smart money
67% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
Who holds it
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is yyyyz, with $12 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 77 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $1.0K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,124 markets (75% won).
Sharp money
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $10 on Yes.
- Holders
- 25
- Money on it
- $69
- Holders' win rate
- 46%
- Snipers
- 1 · $10
- Holders
- 20
- Money on it
- $2.3K
- Holders' win rate
- 65%
The biggest holders on each side
with their lifetime recordsYes$69 on it
- 1yyyyz43% won of 77$12−$2.1K lifetime
- 2singularityman76% won of 360 · sniper$10+$78K lifetime
- 3Dr.PNL30% won of 15,261$9−$485K lifetime
- 4spartatrading44% won of 1,291 · whale$9+$27K lifetime
- 5LornaPredicts28% won of 15,827 · noise$8+$27K lifetime
No$2.3K on it
- 1bernardbulletin75% won of 1,124 · whale$1.0K+$198K lifetime
- 20x72727f158295dCA92Da2e71F406399D1CB351A25-178321570281249% won of 53$675−$130 lifetime
- 3wallet-account-test68% won of 214 · balanced$290+$4.2K lifetime
- 4Elias.Thornwell69% won of 3,134 · whale$96+$570 lifetime
- 5nicoco8965% won of 1,030 · whale$93+$121K lifetime
See what the smart money does next, as it happens.
More markets in Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
14 more- Utah$97K vol.Yes 95%No 6%Smart money: Yes
- Indiana$36K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- South Carolina$29K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Wisconsin$24K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Louisiana$24K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money split
- New York$22K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money split
- Texas$22K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- California$18K vol.Yes 98%No 2%Smart money: Yes
- Minnesota$17K vol.Yes 3%No 98%Smart money: No
- Maryland$17K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Missouri$16K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: Yes
- North Carolina$16K vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Illinois$12K vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Washington$12K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money split
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$76M vol.Yes 19%No 82%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$45M vol.Yes 2%No 98%Smart money: No
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?"?
45 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 45 of them. The largest Yes holder is yyyyz, with $12 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 77 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is bernardbulletin, with $1.0K on it, $198K lifetime profit over 1,124 markets (75% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Virginia use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $13K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
67% of the money on Yes and 67% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.